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3 interesting things I saw this week – June 2, 2022

June 2, 2022 By Mike

Avoid the SALT. Another recession indicator. How can the economy be terrible if most of us say we’re financially OK?

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Filed Under: 3 Interesting Things Tagged With: Behavioral Finance, Recessions, Small Business, Taxes

3 interesting things I saw this week – May 27, 2022

May 27, 2022 By Mike

An inflation roadmap. Developing high potential employees. Maybe we confuse certainty with complacency.

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Filed Under: 3 Interesting Things Tagged With: Inflation, Small Business

3 interesting things I saw this week – May 12

May 12, 2022 By Mike

A historical start to the year. Potentially big changes coming for Medicare. Dotcom redux.

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Filed Under: 3 Interesting Things Tagged With: Investing, Market History, Markets, Medicare, Sports

3 interesting things I saw this week – April 8, 2022

April 8, 2022 By Mike

Housing may not be in a bubble. The yield curve – market timing tool? Why forecasting is hard.

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Filed Under: 3 Interesting Things Tagged With: Forecasts, Housing, Recessions

3 interesting things I saw this week – April 1, 2022

April 1, 2022 By Mike

Is a recession on the horizon? People really do live on cruise ships. The secret to happiness.

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Filed Under: 3 Interesting Things Tagged With: Happiness, Recessions, Retirement Planning

3 interesting things I saw this week – March 24, 2022

March 24, 2022 By Mike

Smiling bulls. Frowning home buyers. The end of falling back and springing forward?

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Filed Under: 3 Interesting Things Tagged With: Health, Housing, Investing

Should you be worried about the “Death Cross”?

March 17, 2022 By Mike

On Monday I started seeing the ominous headlines on financial television and websites. The S&P 500 had just made a “Death Cross”, defined as when the 50 day moving average of stock prices crosses below the 200 day moving average. While the term sounds serious, is this something investors should be worried about?

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Filed Under: Investment Management Tagged With: Forecasts, Investing, Market History, Markets

What can history tell us about current market worries?

February 25, 2022 By Mike

With the market struggles over the past few months and world events over the past few days, there have been no lack of reasons for investors to be concerned. Here is a quick list in no particular order.

  • Inflation – At 7.5%, inflation is at levels not seen since the early ’80’s.
  • Consumer confidence – Because of high inflation, consumers are less confident about their financial well-being than they were at the start of the pandemic in 2020.
  • Rising interest rates – To try and get inflation back under control, beginning in March, the Fed is expected to incrementally raise interest rates anywhere between 1% – 1.75% through the end of the year.
  • Investor confidence – The AAII index of investor sentiment shows investors haven’t been this bearish since the start of the pandemic when the market dropped over 30% in a month.
  • Geopolitical instability – Last but certainly not least, Russia has threatened launched an invasion of Ukraine.

(Notice Covid-19 is not on the list. The market has already concluded that this risk is behind us.)

[Read more…] about What can history tell us about current market worries?

Filed Under: Markets Tagged With: Forecasts, Inflation, Market History, Markets, Recessions, Sentiment

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